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Analysis
Sep 3, 2026Sixty-Two Days Out: The Senate Is a Coin Flip, and Alaska Just Became a Democratic Target
Our September 2 daily check moved fourteen ratings. Democrats' odds of a Senate majority edge up to 46%, Alaska and Georgia shift toward Democrats, Maine becomes a pure 50/50, and three governor races get corrected nominees. Here is everything that changed and why.
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Polling
Nov 26, 2025Thanksgiving Week Poll Drop: What the Numbers Tell Us About 2026
As families gather for the holiday, new polling data reveals key trends shaping next year's midterm elections. Here's what the numbers mean for control of Congress.
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Analysis
Nov 25, 20252026 Midterm Preview: Can Democrats Flip the House?
With a D+2.3 generic ballot advantage and historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party, Democrats have a real shot at reclaiming the House majority. Here's what the data tells us.
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